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October 07, 2004

Despite the support of Michael Munger, protean Duke social scientist extraordinaire, Robert Barro has slipped to second, behind Edward C. Prescott, in the betting market for this year's Nobel Prize in Economics.

The Door tries not to bet because he usually loses. But he makes the favorites Eugene Fama, Oliver Williamson, and then Robert Barro. And here are three dark horses, worth a few coins if you can get long odds: Andrei Shleifer, Bengt Holmstrom, and P.C.B. Phillips.

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» Economics Nobel Update from voluntaryXchange
I don't feel like I'm going out on a limb here - Ed Prescott will not win a Nobel Prize for economics this year. Prescott will win some day, no doubt. And personally, I hope he wins with Finn Kydland, [Read More]

» Thin Nobel Prize Market from voluntaryXchange
I'm not sure the market for predicting this year's Nobel prizes is working too well. This market allows you to buy and sell "shares" assigned to a person's name. If that person wins a prize, you share in the proceeds. [Read More]

» Thin Market Continues from voluntaryXchange
Yesterday I posted my suspicion that the Nobel Prize prediction market is too thin to be very accurate. This was further confirmed today when the Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded to Elfriede Jelinek, who was " was suggested at [Read More]

» http://www.atlanticblog.com/archives/001693.html from AtlanticBlog
By way of Newmark's Door, I have learned about another academic blogger, Michael Munger, the chairman of the political science... [Read More]

» Economics Nobel Update from voluntaryXchange
I don't feel like I'm going out on a limb here - Ed Prescott will not win a Nobel Prize for economics this year. Prescott will win some day, no doubt. And personally, I hope he wins with Finn Kydland, [Read More]

Comments

Don't forget about Gordon Tullock!

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